A safe strategy

Last week I talked about the UK shares strategy with a 85% success rate, today I would like to give you more information on the strategy. In these volatile markets you need to trade safely in order to survive. As you know when volatility is high the stop loss is at risk. A tight stop […]

The day of reckoning

Over the years and in particular since the last financial crisis, I have always maintained that the crisis would return and the stock market would collapse. The natural progression of the stock market is a reflection of social mood and it follows an Elliott wave pattern. This pattern is terminal which is telling us the […]

Upside in the stock market is limited

The stock market has entered a new phase, one which can be described as sideways. I have talked about this pattern many times, when the upside is limited and the stock market makes new highs, there will be an increasing number of sellers. This means the rally will fail to extend and profit taking will […]

Prepare for deflation, act now

The stock market rally extended this week following last week very weak nonfarm payrolls. The message from the job report was similar to that from the ADP employment report, employment in the US is falling sharply. We already knew that many sectors of the economy were slowing but this was not reflected in the job […]

Stock markets turned down as I predicted

You will recall the extreme optimism about many things from a US-China trade deal to the dovish Fed at the end of April. This extreme in bullish sentiment was a warning the trend would turn down (as recorded by my trend reversal indicator), that is why I expected a stock market decline. The S&P 500 […]

When sentiment is extremely bullish

Bullish sentiment is associated with rising stock market. However after a long period of bullish sentiment, the mood will be too bullish i.e. extremely bullish, it’s like euphoria. At that moment the risk of a trend reversal is high. see http://www.e-yield.com/ftse-100-forecast/

Stock market rebound won’t last

I was talking about the dead cat bounce, the rally to 2800 in the S&P 500. This is a bear market and in a bear market good news provides an opportunity to go short. The good news came from China, trade talks between US and China are going well according to president Trump. This is […]

No stop strategy or with stop loss?

The no stop strategy from e-Yield is doing well however, this is not always a strategy people want. The reason is that most people trade with a stop loss. People like a stop loss when they are highly leveraged. A small adverse move can cause damage to your account if your trade size is too […]