The day of reckoning

Over the years and in particular since the last financial crisis, I have always maintained that the crisis would return and the stock market would collapse. The natural progression of the stock market is a reflection of social mood and it follows an Elliott wave pattern. This pattern is terminal which is telling us the […]

Prepare for deflation, act now

The stock market rally extended this week following last week very weak nonfarm payrolls. The message from the job report was similar to that from the ADP employment report, employment in the US is falling sharply. We already knew that many sectors of the economy were slowing but this was not reflected in the job […]

Stock markets turned down as I predicted

You will recall the extreme optimism about many things from a US-China trade deal to the dovish Fed at the end of April. This extreme in bullish sentiment was a warning the trend would turn down (as recorded by my trend reversal indicator), that is why I expected a stock market decline. The S&P 500 […]

Stock market rebound won’t last

I was talking about the dead cat bounce, the rally to 2800 in the S&P 500. This is a bear market and in a bear market good news provides an opportunity to go short. The good news came from China, trade talks between US and China are going well according to president Trump. This is […]

No stop strategy or with stop loss?

The no stop strategy from e-Yield is doing well however, this is not always a strategy people want. The reason is that most people trade with a stop loss. People like a stop loss when they are highly leveraged. A small adverse move can cause damage to your account if your trade size is too […]

Bearish divergence between FTSE 100 and S&P 500

Last week we had conflicting signals but I still made a profit. Members of the FTSE short term forecast and No Stop strategy made a profit too. I felt bullish on GBP/USD and while I was bearish on the S&P 500 I bought the S&P and sold the FTSE. The reasoning was that if markets […]

Good performance No Stop strategy

If you follow my trades posted in the traders community (e-Yield app) you will note that most trades don’t have a stop loss. This is why I call this strategy a No Stop strategy. This strategy has produced a strong return in the last three months, my account is up 34%. since May. I trade […]

FTSE 100 facing headwinds

Markets rallied yesterday on the back of last week job report but the latest data from the US was not bullish. US factory orders fell more than expected, yet investors are happy to focus on the job report. You can see the economic data in the US is deteriorating, I think it is a matter […]

I warned you the FTSE 100 would collapse

The FTSE 100 is down more than 12% from the top recorded in January this year. I have been telling people to join my forecast service, I could see the FTSE 100 would collapse. Look what happened to the FTSE 100, I warned people several times this would happen, read my January article: https://uk.investing.com/analysis/stock-markets-approaching-major-turning-point-200199308 Please join […]