A low risk strategy on UK equities

The long/short strategy on UK shares was launched in May this year and after six months the results are impressive. 76% of trades are successful and the return is 13% in six months. This is equivalent to 26% per year. Here are the results Rules: When we buy shares we invest 20% of the account … Continue Reading

The day of reckoning

Over the years and in particular since the last financial crisis, I have always maintained that the crisis would return and the stock market would collapse. The natural progression of the stock market is a reflection of social mood and it follows an Elliott wave pattern. This pattern is terminal which is telling us the … Continue Reading

Prepare for deflation, act now

The stock market rally extended this week following last week very weak nonfarm payrolls. The message from the job report was similar to that from the ADP employment report, employment in the US is falling sharply. We already knew that many sectors of the economy were slowing but this was not reflected in the job … Continue Reading

Stock markets turned down as I predicted

You will recall the extreme optimism about many things from a US-China trade deal to the dovish Fed at the end of April. This extreme in bullish sentiment was a warning the trend would turn down (as recorded by my trend reversal indicator), that is why I expected a stock market decline. The S&P 500 … Continue Reading

Stock market rebound won’t last

I was talking about the dead cat bounce, the rally to 2800 in the S&P 500. This is a bear market and in a bear market good news provides an opportunity to go short. The good news came from China, trade talks between US and China are going well according to president Trump. This is … Continue Reading

No stop strategy or with stop loss?

The no stop strategy from e-Yield is doing well however, this is not always a strategy people want. The reason is that most people trade with a stop loss. People like a stop loss when they are highly leveraged. A small adverse move can cause damage to your account if your trade size is too … Continue Reading

FTSE 100 facing headwinds

Markets rallied yesterday on the back of last week job report but the latest data from the US was not bullish. US factory orders fell more than expected, yet investors are happy to focus on the job report. You can see the economic data in the US is deteriorating, I think it is a matter … Continue Reading

I warned you the FTSE 100 would collapse

The FTSE 100 is down more than 12% from the top recorded in January this year. I have been telling people to join my forecast service, I could see the FTSE 100 would collapse. Look what happened to the FTSE 100, I warned people several times this would happen, read my January article: https://uk.investing.com/analysis/stock-markets-approaching-major-turning-point-200199308 Please join … Continue Reading