Prepare for deflation, act now

The stock market rally extended this week following last week very weak nonfarm payrolls. The message from the job report was similar to that from the ADP employment report, employment in the US is falling sharply. We already knew that many sectors of the economy were slowing but this was not reflected in the job […]

Stock markets turned down as I predicted

You will recall the extreme optimism about many things from a US-China trade deal to the dovish Fed at the end of April. This extreme in bullish sentiment was a warning the trend would turn down (as recorded by my trend reversal indicator), that is why I expected a stock market decline. The S&P 500 […]

Stock market rebound won’t last

I was talking about the dead cat bounce, the rally to 2800 in the S&P 500. This is a bear market and in a bear market good news provides an opportunity to go short. The good news came from China, trade talks between US and China are going well according to president Trump. This is […]

Bearish divergence between FTSE 100 and S&P 500

Last week we had conflicting signals but I still made a profit. Members of the FTSE short term forecast and No Stop strategy made a profit too. I felt bullish on GBP/USD and while I was bearish on the S&P 500 I bought the S&P and sold the FTSE. The reasoning was that if markets […]

Good performance No Stop strategy

If you follow my trades posted in the traders community (e-Yield app) you will note that most trades don’t have a stop loss. This is why I call this strategy a No Stop strategy. This strategy has produced a strong return in the last three months, my account is up 34%. since May. I trade […]

All time highs near the end

Some new all time highs are more bullish than others, particularly in the early parts of the bull market. But when the new all-time highs occur during a period of extreme optimism you know the end is near…read more

FTSE 100 prediction over the short to medium term

My FTSE 100 prediction is based on the Elliott wave pattern together with sentiment and fundamental factors. The FTSE 100 was weak yesterday, this happened despite a weak pound sterling. The UK index closed down while GBP/USD was falling on lower than expected inflation data. The consumer price index for June came in at 0%, […]